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Nordic Outlook (Eng)
Muted global growth amid extreme yields
August 27, 2019 - 14:53

Muted global growth amid extreme yields

Sweden: Riksbank on hold despite low inflation
The global economy is seeing a noticeably pessimistic bond market and increased uncertainty due to trade and geopolitical issues. A lengthy manufacturing slump and escalating trade wars will cause yearly global growth to slow from nearly 4 per cent in 2018 to just over 3 per cent during the period 2019-2021. Yet our main scenario is still that outright recession will be avoided. Moderate debt is lowering the risk of contagion from the weak manufacturing sector to the overall economy. Low inflation is giving central banks room for stimulus, and US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts are lowering the risk of policy mistakes. Meanwhile the Swedish economy is entering a phase of slower growth, despite support from b ...


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